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             首页 股票学校 股票入门 选股 买入 看盘 跟庄 短线 炒股技巧 技术指标 k线图 MACD 均线 成交量 股票书籍 股票视频 网站导航

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            运用OBV指标识别趋势运行状态(图解)

              能量潮(OBV,On Balance Volume)也称为平衡成交量法、累积能量线,是一种基于成交量的技术指标。它基于基本的量价配合关系,在设计过程中既考虑了价格的趋势运行情况,又考虑了量能的正负情况,依据价格的涨跌情况来累加成交量或是减去成交量,进而制成了一条反映市场运行状态的量能趋势线,以反映股价的波动与成交量变化趋势之间的关系。通过OBV指标线的变化形态,可以很好的判断出股市或个股的上涨能量如何。

              能量潮指标的设计原理

              能量潮指标(OBV)以基本的量价关系为基础,其主要理论基础是市场价格的变化必须有成交量的配合,股价的波动与成交量的放大或缩小有密切的关联。能量潮指标通过将价格上涨时的量能视作做多能量,而将价格下跌时的量能视作做空能量,通过对每个上涨日的量能进行累加,并减去每个交易日的下跌量能,进而得到市场的能量变化情况。

              能量潮的计算方法很简单。它通过设定一个基准日的数值为基数,逐日累计每个交易日的股市或个股的成交量。若股市或个股在当日处于上涨状态,则当日的成交量为正值,当日的OBV值=上一交易日OBV数值+当日成交量;反之,若股市或个股在当日处于上涨状态,则当日的成交量为正值,当日的OBV值=上一交易日OBV数值-当日成交量。

              股市或个股在上升趋势中往往呈现出量价齐升的形态,且上涨日的量能往往要明显大于随后回调下跌日的量能;而且,下跌趋势往往也会呈现出放量反弹、缩量下跌的走势。因而,看到的OBV指标线其总体上的运行形态往往是呈现出逐步上行的,但这只是其总体的概观表现。我们结合实例来介绍如何利用OBV指标线分析价格走势。

              运用OBV指标识别趋势运行状态

              能量潮指标是一种成交量指标,它以成交量为核心,并没有充分考虑到价格的走势特征,仅凭指标线的运行形态,是无法准确的了解到价格走势情况的。技术分析的两大要素是价和量,而价又是第一要素,同样的量能形态完全可以出现在不同的价格走势之中,这就要求在利用能量潮指标时,一定要关注同期的价格走势,只有这样,才能客观全面的利用好这一指标。

              上升趋势运行过程中的典型量能形态就是“量价齐升”,此时的OBV指标线往往与价格走势呈现出同步的上扬形态,这说明价格的上涨得到了充足的量能推动,是涨势可靠的表现,也是上升趋势持续的标志。

              图19-1为上证指数2006年11月至2007年11月期间走势图,如图所示,股市在此期间处于上升趋势中,通过对比OBV指标线的运行形态及大盘指数的运行形态,可以看到,两者呈现出同步的正相关性,即处于同步的逐步攀升形态。这说明,股市的上涨得到了较为充足的量能推动,这就是能量潮指标对于上升趋势的直观反映,而且,透过能量潮指标,可以对上升趋势过程中的量能变化情况有一个更为直观的认识。

            运用OBV指标识别趋势运行状态(图解)

              图19-2为路桥建设(600263) 2006年11月15日至2007年6月22日期间走势图,如图标注所示,此股在此期间处于持续上涨的上升趋势中,同期的OBV指标线也同步的处于快速攀升中,透过OBV指标线的运行形态,可以对此股的上升趋势运行状态有一个更为准确的把握。

            运用OBV指标识别趋势运行状态(图解)

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