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             首页 股票学校 股票入门 选股 买入 看盘 跟庄 短线 炒股技巧 技术指标 k线图 MACD 均线 成交量 股票书籍 股票视频 网站导航

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            运用RSI指标识别趋势运行状态(图解)

              相对强弱指标(RSI,Relative Strength Index),也称力度指标,它通过分析市场某一段时间内的上涨或下跌幅度的情况,来判断多空双方力量的相对强弱,进而预示价格的短期走势。相对强弱指标由技术分析大师威尔斯·威尔德(Welles Wilder)于1978年发表,最初被用于期货市场中,是一种更适用于研判震荡行情的摆动类指标。

              相对强弱指标的设计原理

              相对强弱指标,顾名思义,是用于分析某一阶段股市相对强弱情况的指标,而股市运行强弱其外在最直接的反映形式就是:价格的涨跌幅度。当股市处于相对较强的状态时,此时的上涨幅度会较大;反之,股市处于相对较弱的状态时,此时的下跌幅度会较大。利用这一原理,相对强弱指标(RSI)通过用向上波动幅度和总波动幅度的比值来描述走势强弱。当价格的上涨幅度较为明显时,表示多方力量较强,价格在短期内仍更有可能继续上升;反之,当价格下跌时,表时空方力量较强,价格在短期内仍有可能继续下跌。

              RSl指标的计算方法为:相对强弱值RSI=(N日内收盘价上涨幅度总和)÷(上涨下跌幅度总和)×100。若上升的力量较大,则计算出来的指标上升;若下降的力量较大,则指标下降,由此测算出市场走势的强弱。一般来说,在RSI指标窗口中,有三条RSI指标线,它们的计算周期一般被设定为:6日RSI指标线、12日RSI指标线、24日RSI指标线。周期越短的指标线反映越灵敏,但可靠性相对较差。在实盘操作中,可以利用RSI指标线的总体运行形态、交叉穿越关系,来分析预测价格的后期走势。

              运用RSI指标识别趋势运行状态

              相对强弱指标是一种反映市场相对强弱状态的指标,它既可以反映出市场在局部阶段中的相对强弱情况,也可以反映出市场总体的相对强弱情况,因而,在实盘操作中,既可以利用此指标进行短线高抛低吸操作,又可以透过这一指标识别趋势运行的情况。

              在相对强弱指标中,通过其计算公式,可以知道,当“N日内收盘价上涨幅度总和”是这一时间段内“上涨下跌幅度总和”的一半时,则RSI指标值为50,这代表股市在此期间的上涨力量与下跌力量处于均衡状态。因而,可以把RSI=50当作是多空双方力量的均衡线。当RSI指标值超过50时,说明多方力量占优;反之,当RSI指标线值低于50时,则说明空方力量占优。

              上升趋势是一个多方力量持续占据优势的过程,此时,RSI指标线会稳健的运行于50上方,这说明多方力量占据了总体上的优势;反之,下跌趋势是一个空方力量持续占据优势的过程,此时,RSI指标线会稳健的运行于50下方,这说明空方力量占据了总体上的优势;盘整趋势则是多空双方势均力敌,双方处于焦灼的过程,此时的RSI指标线会在50数值上下波动。

              图18-1为鄂武商A(000501) 2009年3月6日至12月10日期间走势图,在RSI指标线窗口中,用虚线标注出了数值50的位置区,其中,由细到粗的三条曲线分别为:6日RSI指标线、12日RSI指标线、24日RSI指标线。如图所示,此股在期间处于持续上涨的上升趋势之中,而RSI指标线的运行形态可以直观清晰的反映出此股的这种趋势运行形态,从图中可以看到,在此期间的RSI指标线稳健的运行于50上方(注:在利用RSI指标线分析价格的中长期趋势运行状态时,由于短期的6日RSI指标线波动过于频繁快速,因而,主要观察12日及24日RSI指标线运行形态即可),这说明市场的上涨力量在此期间占据了明显的优势。

              图18-2为金路集团(000510) 2009年2月2日至2010年1月13日期间走势图,如图所示,此股在此期间处于上升趋势中,透过RSI指标线稳健的运行于数值50上方这一形态,可以清晰的判断出此股的这种趋势运行状态。

              推荐:RSI指标专题

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